1-1a7 Epistemology is the way with which we go about our detective work; other sciences are application of such detective lens

4-1c Great negotiators actively try to reveal hidden assumptions, that is, they look for surprises. They are more than just being ready for them.

• 1/1a7a Everything is detective/abductive:
  • Writing (you decide what to write during writing)
    • 9-4b1 Writing is abduction repeated
    • 1-1a5a A real essay doesn’t take a position and then defend it (deductive). It starts with a question (abductive), in trying to figure something out.
  • Thinking (you figure out what you’re thinking about by encountering your unconscious via surprises, e.g., conversations)
    • 1-2f1c Your thinking must be digital to be mistaken, to be surprised
  • Trading (in the broader sense of market, including how you also find what you want to want in the market, not just what you wanted)develop
    • 3-1a4d 市場メカニズムにもノンマーケット・セクターにも根本的な大きな欠陥がある
  • Derivative trading (your model has to abduct itself using price as real contingency)
    • 1-1a4a1 Regime-switching model implemented Popperian epistemology to trade financial derivatives
  • Living (you constantly recalibrate your formulation of problem-situation, it’s like never-ending 二十の扉 but it’s open-ended because it doesn’t have an answer and thus cannot be closed-end)
    • 9-2a2 You have to figure out where you are going by living abductively via surprises
    • 3-1c3e2 Experience provides problems-concepts-knowledge