1-1a4b2 Problems arise only when you reason via abduction

Reason via abduction means opportunity-driven.

Related:

• 1-1c6a3.1 Really good opportunities aren’t often and won’t last long
• 2-1a6c5 ‘Randomness’ is the opportunity to reason abductively
• 7-2a Be opportunistic and flexible globally rather than inverting locally and prematurely optimized
• RUL3 - Ask at night how what you’ve learned that day fits into your web of ideas, and search for overlaps and contradictions. Most people do not do this.
  • 1-2d You have to know your problem-situation (and your web of ideas) as best as you can to judge the merit of new explanations
    • 5-1b1b1a1 Things can become easier the more complexity you have (Network effects = Power-law)
      • 1-1c6a1b Your ability to detect surprises will get better, and you will never be short of them
      • 10-1a1b 行き詰らないとアブダクションできない