1-1c6a1c The absence of evidence is not the evidence of absence

Sherlock Holmes meets David Deutsch and Murray Rothbard.

Next:

• 1-1c6a1d In the absence of evidence, do not assume miracles

Related:

• Causation isn’t everything
  • 1-2g2s8 The unobserved parts of the wider phenomenon have in no way affected what we observe, yet they are essential to its explanation. Causation doesn’t exhaust explanation.
  • 10-2e8 Reasoning about causes and effects is reasoning about variants of the causes and effects. What would’ve happened. How it could’ve been otherwise.
  • 13-1a3.1 The concept of cost must evoke the multiverse
• Abstractions are real
  • 10-2g2e2 Abstractions are real, and created the same way as with any other knowledge
  • 10-2g2e3 Abstractions seem ‘inaccessible’ to empiricism
• Related?revisit
  • 1-1d Usually the obstacles are your own preconceived notions, and rarely the laws of physics
  • 1-2g1a In most cases, the new theory likely predicts the same outcome as the old ones, but that doesn’t mean we don’t need new theories because new theories give better explanations
  • 3-1d6d Consistency with specific problems in mind is the key to (detect) progress
  • 5-1b1d1 Not investing is also a form of investing
  • 5-2 What counts cannot be counted
  • 9-2a It’s easy to convince if people don’t know you enough for what you are not