5-1b2.1 Don’t invest in prediction, because the Black Swan is inherently unpredictable
11-2a Invest for the wealth it can generate, not for the money per se
9-2a4 Specifically, be long volatility with people’s ability to create new knowledge
E.g., ETH communities
5-1b2a The “Doubt-Avoidance Tendency” - people want certainty-predictability-control over accuracy-reality
5-1b3 How much we can change is also unpredictable
7-2a Be opportunistic and flexible globally rather than inverting locally and prematurely optimized
5-1b1a8a1 Prediction ≠ Knowledge (because prediction requires knowledge)
AN3C - There is no way a training could prepare a man for combat
Instead, bet on universality.
Universality