Next:
- 5-1b4a0 We overestimate the technological impact in the next 10 years, but underestimate the next 20 (and often right about 15 years later)
- 5-1b4a1 Don’t be a depressive realist or a blissfully unaware. Be a rational optimist.
- 5-1b4b Compounding is usually too slow to notice. You have to be deliberate in how you think and what you see.
Related:
- 5-1b3 How much we can change is also unpredictable
- 7-1d1d You can use technology people assume is “dead”
- RUL3 - Write out your goals. It’s amazing how few people do.
- 7-1d1b Look for technology which haven’t gotten a lot of press yet because it’s really new from labs, or because people assume it’s “dead” although doesn’t explain why