5-2c1 You perceive yourself by what you do repeatedly, just as you judge others by their routine behaviors.

5-2b0 You are what you do repeatedly

Somehow contradictory:

• 5-1b3 How much we can change is also unpredictable

• 5-2c1a 自己シグナリング：人間は、他人を評価するのと同じで、自分で自分の行動を見て、自分の性格を判断している。

  • 2-1a1a3c Belong where your desired habits are the norm

• 5-2c2 Fake stuff usually has a sharp peak of seeming to matter

  • 1-2g1c3a Humans have no nature and no self apart from the experiences they have united in their memories (the Buddhist notion of anatman - ‘no self’)
    • 1-2g1c3d Don’t judge a book by its cover. Read the whole context instead.

This is against the Black Swan:develop

• 5-1b3a In particular, we underestimate how much we can change in the future during and after downturns. Things change.
• 5-2c2c The probability of extinction is effectively independent of its age (Van Valen)

The Black Swan:

• 5-2 What counts cannot be counted
• Not only in the sense of how your epistemology dictates what can be seen, but also in the sense that what counts (e.g., knowledge) is usually unpredictable and thus cannot be counted/predicted.

AN3C - A restaurant can afford to serve the occasional burnt dinners. In tech, you cook one thing and that’s what everyone eats.

MentalModels
Taleb