“Most people, if you describe a train of events to them, will tell you what the result would be. They can put those events together in their minds, and argue from them that something will come to pass. There are few people, however, who, if you told them a result, would be able to evolve from their own inner consciousness what the steps were which led up to that result. This power is what I mean when I talk of reasoning backward, or analytically.” – Sherlock Holmes
Don’t cut corners
Related:
- 1-2g1a In most cases, the new theory likely predicts the same outcome as the old ones, but that doesn’t mean we don’t need new theories because new theories give better explanations
- 5-1b1a8a1 Prediction ≠ Knowledge (because prediction requires knowledge)
- 6-3a2.1 How you achieve something matters as much as what you achieve
- 10-2g1f3 We can only figure out what they know by what they do (‘performance’), because we can never directly study what people know (‘competence’). To assert that we can is a common error in thinking.
- 10-2g2c0d1 Peircean semiotics is about process and not about topic
- RUL3 - The transparency principle - make your decision-making process as visible and open to scrutiny as possible