17 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• May 27, 2025

  13-9a0 “The price is the first and most obvious indication of the nature of the alternatives” – Philip Wicksteed

  • Ayache
  • revisit

• May 27, 2025

  Murray Rothbard

  • develop
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • volatility
  • Ayache

• May 14, 2025

  3-1a4b5 Anything can be priced in principle. But not everything will be.

  • develop
  • Ayache

• Apr 26, 2025

  Ludwig von Mises

  • develop
  • multiverse
  • DanielEverett
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • Ayache
  • Spitznagel
  • symbols

• Feb 15, 2025

  Elie Ayache

  • Ayache

• Feb 11, 2025

  9-4b2a1c The moment you write about any societal problem in depth you'll find yourself writing a history of that problem

  • develop
  • Ayache

• Dec 18, 2024

  5-1b1a2c0.1 Perfect replication is impossible

  • Ayache
  • develop

• Oct 06, 2024

  3-1c2e0 There is no minimum idea

  • develop
  • Ayache

• Aug 31, 2024

  1-1a5b4.4 Real-time calibration (i.e., recalibration) lets you adapt to the changing landscape

  • develop
  • Ayache

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-1a1 歴史 = 編集 = 関係の発見

  • Ayache

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-1a2c 情報文化史は編集技術の歴史

  • reflexivity
  • Balaji
  • 松岡正剛
  • develop

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g1f3 We can only figure out what they know by what they do ('performance'), because we can never directly study what people know ('competence'). To assert that we can is a common error in thinking.

  • Behaviorism
  • develop
  • MentalModels
  • Mises

8 items with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2e1 Be ambitious but leverage what you already know

  • BorrowedCreativity

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g New theory is constrained in terms of what it can say, since it must either be consistent with existing theories, or contradict them but address the problems thereby raised

  • BorrowedCreativity

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2e7 Abstraction is universal, precisely because they are in the abstract (i.e., itself not contingently constrained by its own physicality)

  • develop
  • Universality
  • symbols
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • infinity
  • BorrowedCreativity

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g5 Every invention is built up over time within culture

  • BorrowedCreativity

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-1b1a1 Improving on already existent technology by removing one of its restraints amounts to innovation

  • BorrowedCreativity

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-2c2b1 Focus on the fundamentals, on the deeper ideas closer to abstract knowledge, on what matters, and build yourself (including technology) around it

  • develop
  • BorrowedCreativity

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1b5a You can create problems. Not in the sense of causing problems, but literally creatively creating them. There are good problems and bad problems. Work on and solve good problems.

  • BorrowedCreativity

• Jul 18, 2024

  9-1b0a When you have learned something, the way it exists in your mind is the same as the way it exists in the mind of the inventor

  • BorrowedCreativity
  • develop

4 items with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-1a2a There is no human nature if by this we mean a kind of a priori knowledge common to all and only to humans

  • Buddhism

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g1c3a Humans have no nature and no self apart from the experiences they have united in their memories (the Buddhist notion of anatman - 'no self')

  • Buddhism

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g1c3b Self = A memory of skandhas (form, sensation, perception, mental formations, and consciousness)

  • Buddhism

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2e9d There are no 'species' in nature. Reality doesn't distinguish life by categories.

  • categories
  • develop
  • Buddhism
  • TheTuringPrinciple

67 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Feb 11, 2025

  3-1a The reality doesn’t have categories, there are only problems to be solved. Be problem-project-oriented. 'Academic subjects' are mere social constructs.

  • develop
  • categories

• Feb 02, 2025

  Chris Dixon

  • categories
  • develop
  • composability

• Dec 09, 2024

  4-1a4b2b1 'One-of-those' over one-off - Learn from history (not just from your 'own' experience)

  • categories

• Aug 03, 2024

  6-3b When you own something, you have an incentive to invest in it

  • own
  • develop
  • categories

• Aug 03, 2024

  3-1a4a 歴史において、世界史・日本史といった区別は客観的に存在しない

  • categories

• Jul 31, 2024

  2-1a4 'Language instinct' - Language can't exhaust mind

  • categories
  • MentalModelsPsychology

• Jul 31, 2024

  9-3a Luck-Skill dichotomy is at best arbitrary. We can train our ability to create ‘luck’.

  • develop
  • categories

• Jul 31, 2024

  5-1b1b1 Become good at multiple things rather than being super good at one specific thing (the former is both easier and effective)

  • categories

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2u The explanation (the theory of knowledge) must involve quantum physics, the Turing principle (the theory of computation), and, as Popper himself stressed, the theory of evolution.

  • categories

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-1b9 Ethnogrammatical studies are to explain the linkage between nonlinguistic evidence and noncultural evidence

  • categories

3 items with this tag.

• Feb 02, 2025

  Chris Dixon

  • categories
  • develop
  • composability

• Aug 14, 2024

  8-1c2a What matters is the creativity per se, because non-creative parts will be made easier

  • develop
  • composability

• Jul 18, 2024

  12-1d Flexible media will surface contingency

  • composability

2 items with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2b3 Computational universality is about computers inside our physical world being related to each other under the universal laws of physics to which we (thereby) have access (because human brains are computers)

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • computation

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2i0 Life is computation in the sense of assuming other object (i.e., genes assuming its surrounding environment)

  • evolution
  • computation
  • TheTuringPrinciple

7 items with this tag.

• Mar 02, 2025

  2-1a6c4c We can explain things because we are multiversal objects. The multiverse implies explanatory knowledge.

  • Consciousness
  • multiverse
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2j1 Accuracy is the closeness, as far as is perceptible, of the rendered environment to the intended one (intension)

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • symbols
  • evolution
  • Consciousness

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2j2 Icons are intentional resemblances. It is 'about' something.

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • symbols
  • evolution
  • Consciousness

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2l3 We create knowledge actively. We are more than biological life.

  • develop
  • Consciousness

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2t3d Because creation (and growth) of knowledge is in essence error-correction, and because being wrong is way easier than being right, knowledge-creating-bearing entities will become more alike (and thrive) across the multiverse

  • Consciousness
  • multiverse
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  4-1a4b5a Maybe consciousness is seeing your thinking mediated on some other physical form, realizing that it could’ve been put otherwise (and optionally you improve upon)

  • develop
  • LLMs
  • Consciousness

• Jul 18, 2024

  4-1a4b5b Deutsch - The solution to the problem of consciousness will invoke no specific quantum-mechanical processes, but it will depend crucially on the quantum-mechanical, and especially the multi-universe, world-picture.

  • multiverse
  • Consciousness

5 items with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2r The Turing principle, if true, dictates that we can form accurate theories about reality. Knowledge to the Turing principle is what steam engines are to the principles of thermodynamics. That is, the Turing principle implies knowledge.

  • ConstructorTheory
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a7a Curiosity (i.e., the Fun Criterion) leads you to wealth, because wealth is knowledge

  • ConstructorTheory
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1b2e1 Understanding comes from copying the information-knowledge as information-knowledge medium; not from copying the substrate

  • ConstructorTheory

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-1b1a2c2 Constructor Theory is all about knowledge of how to correct errors (primarily of our parochiality-physicality) and thus optimism

  • ConstructorTheory

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1a4a1 Wealth created ≠ the P&L of a business. Remember - you get what you measure.

  • develop
  • ConstructorTheory

5 items with this tag.

• May 18, 2025

  12-1a2a2 資本は資本の一元性を好み、商品は商品の多様性を好む

  • develop
  • contingency

• Jul 18, 2024

  12-1a2a1 Free markets and free speech, by definition, transcend the concepts of nation-states

  • contingency
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  12-1a3 The tangible and explicit (can) come in last in the evolution of organic community

  • develop
  • contingency

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3b2.3 Dollar is state network for payment

  • contingency
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1a2a3 Win at the corner then come back (傾く・バロック)

  • contingency

2 items with this tag.

• Apr 26, 2025

  Ludwig von Mises

  • develop
  • multiverse
  • DanielEverett
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • Ayache
  • Spitznagel
  • symbols

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2c2 Human minds are capable of knowing what ideas mean

  • develop
  • symbols
  • DanielEverett

428 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• May 31, 2025

  13-8a2a Money allows you to deal with change per se, since there is no substantive difference between changes in values scales of others and that of himself in the future

  • develop
  • revisit

• May 31, 2025

  13-1a3a1h The market tends to establish and maintain as high a quality of forecasting as is humanly possible to achieve

  • develop

• May 31, 2025

  13-1a3a2d3b Value scales and money are reflexive—value scales become more actionable with money, because money changes the topology of value scales

  • develop
  • reflexivity

• May 31, 2025

  13-1a3a2e4 Money is demanded and considered useful because of its already existing money prices

  • develop

• May 28, 2025

  13-1a3a1g Knowledge via memes doesn’t grow without money

  • develop

• May 28, 2025

  13-1a3a2e7 Values (and also prices—to the extent that value scales can be ascertained only through them) are not concerned with the past

  • develop

• May 27, 2025

  Murray Rothbard

  • develop
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • volatility
  • Ayache

• May 25, 2025

  13-8a2 The demand for money stems from fundamental uncertainty about both the future environment and the future-self

  • develop

• May 24, 2025

  13-1a3a1e Money puts back memes to the game genes were playing—to the game of survival

  • develop

• May 24, 2025

  13-1a3a1f Success in the money economy implies adaptation to others (including distant ones), not merely to its surrounding environment

  • develop
  • revisit

1 item with this tag.

• Apr 26, 2025

  Saifedean Ammous

  • develop
  • elaborate
  • TODO
  • revisit
  • Spitznagel
  • FutureSelf

12 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Oct 19, 2024

  10-2g1f2c It's as though everything from culture-grammar-symbol-DNA-brain evolved so that high accuracy correspondences were made easier to achieve

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • evolution
  • reflexivity
  • symbols
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2i Genes (life) are programs that embody the laws of physics (of their own niches)

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • evolution
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2i0 Life is computation in the sense of assuming other object (i.e., genes assuming its surrounding environment)

  • evolution
  • computation
  • TheTuringPrinciple

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2j1 Accuracy is the closeness, as far as is perceptible, of the rendered environment to the intended one (intension)

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • symbols
  • evolution
  • Consciousness

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2j2 Icons are intentional resemblances. It is 'about' something.

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • symbols
  • evolution
  • Consciousness

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2m The existence of highly adapted replicators depends on the Turing principle because those are in essence universal virtual-reality generators. Explicit reference to replicators, evolution, or biology, are not necessary.

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • evolution

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2o Evolution is a well-established fact, and itself not a theory. Only the explanations of how evolution happens or looks are theories (e.g., natural selection, genetic processes, and family trees).

  • evolution

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2d1c Evolution achieved that jump to universality with the DNA genetic code

  • Universality
  • evolution
  • symbols
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2d2e9e Evolution of 'other life-forms' must evoke the influence of human existence

  • evolution
  • categories

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2e7 The common-sense concept of cause and effect makes sense because 'variants' do exist somewhere in the multiverse. Nothing necessitates causes to precede their effects.

  • multiverse
  • evolution
  • develop

9 items with this tag.

• Apr 26, 2025

  Saifedean Ammous

  • develop
  • elaborate
  • TODO
  • revisit
  • Spitznagel
  • FutureSelf

• Aug 30, 2024

  4-1a4b6a When you write down, you are helping yourself both now and in the future

  • FutureSelf

• Aug 15, 2024

  4-1a4b2b Being reactive is like being analog in the heat of the moment

  • develop
  • FutureSelf

• Aug 12, 2024

  2-1b2b 'Second-order thinking' - Solve the root cause of a problem (prevention) and not symptoms. Be smart-lazy.

  • FutureSelf
  • develop
  • MentalModelsGeneral

• Jul 31, 2024

  5-1b4b3 Time beats timing

  • develop
  • FutureSelf

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1c1 Learning with intent to use them in the future (i.e., performance-output-oriented) filters down information, while constantly reminding you of the very problem-situation you are trying to solve and the very purpose that comes with it.

  • FutureSelf

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1c3d2 Well defined problems are completable, and allow you to take small steps

  • FutureSelf

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1c3d3 When problems are so well defined, your future self might be able to solve new problems by reusing and recombining them

  • FutureSelf

• Jul 18, 2024

  QUE5 - What are the best returns I can sustain for the longest period of time

  • FutureSelf

13 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• May 05, 2025

  2-1c2 'Specialization' - Minimizing opportunity costs maximize comparative advantages and leads to prosperity

  • history
  • develop
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1d2a2 Founders must be legitimate and competent. Pay attention to the selection mechanism, and be aware if otherwise.

  • history

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c3a Internet turned everyone into publisher. Crypto can turn everyone into investor.

  • history

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c3a1 Internet vs Telecom will recur in Crypto vs Financial Services

  • history

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c3b Farming became the most common job during the 19th century

  • history

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c3c Manufacturing became the most common job during the 20th century

  • history

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c4a Smartphones skyrocketed online screen time

  • history

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c4a1 iPhone and texting (along with visual voicemail) boosted each other

  • history

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c4a2 Twitter’s 140-character limit was useful constraint

  • history

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c4b Popular magazines boosted and was boosted by literacy

  • history

8 items with this tag.

• Apr 26, 2025

  7-1a4b Understanding the measurement-constraints amounts to understanding the system-incentives. That is, creating explanations.

  • incentives
  • develop

• Aug 16, 2024

  6-1b You either have to realign the incentives of capitalist entities you are outsourcing your health, or you have to take care of yourself

  • incentives

• Jul 18, 2024

  11-2 Capital market aligns financial incentives with curiosity. More precisely, capital market constrains curiosity with financial incentives.

  • incentives
  • categories
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a4a Sometimes the best information is the least transmissible.

  • incentives

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1a4a Growth in revenue and in user base are not the same thing.

  • incentives
  • unseen

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c4d1 Web3 writing differs particularly from Web2 writing, because of the incentive structure

  • develop
  • incentives
  • media

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c4d2 Web2 writing is enmeshed in Web2 incentive structure

  • incentives

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-2b Crypto will disrupt everything because it can change how organizations are formed, monetized, and exited. It could take decades to play out.

  • incentives
  • develop

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2e7 Abstraction is universal, precisely because they are in the abstract (i.e., itself not contingently constrained by its own physicality)

  • develop
  • Universality
  • symbols
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • infinity
  • BorrowedCreativity

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1b2b3 Don't invest what you can't afford to lose

  • investment

11 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-1a5b5 Shipping perfection means you are too late - you have to find a balance of finding the right moment and being fixable

  • LearnInPublic

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a6c1 'Tendency to minimize energy output' - Align your incentives properly, then (almost) everything will follow

  • LearnInPublic
  • develop
  • MentalModelsBiology

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-3c 'Surface area' - Manage your exposure to volatilities

  • LearnInPublic
  • develop
  • MentalModelsNumeracy

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1c1d0a Zipf’s law distribution = Passive consumption make up 99% of activities on the internet, and less than 1% even comment on content, and much less than THAT actually create something new

  • develop
  • LearnInPublic

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-1b1b1a1a Pareto principle (or law of the vital few) - 80% of the effects come from 20% of the causes

  • LearnInPublic

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1b0 The creator-user (or producer-consumer) distinction is arbitrary. There are no 'producers' and 'consumers' in the non-human world.

  • LearnInPublic
  • develop
  • categories

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1b0a The producer-consumer distinction is blurred in non-profit organizations and open source projects. Likely why their diffusions are slow.

  • develop
  • LearnInPublic

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1b4b3 When you dump oscillations, you dump low end as well as high end

  • LearnInPublic
  • volatility

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1b4b4 It’s better to take the risk of telling others about your ideas than to hide them

  • LearnInPublic
  • develop
  • categories

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1b4b5 Any kind of expertise is valuable, and some people will take unexpected action to capture that value such that it will be serendipitous to you

  • LearnInPublic

3 items with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2f3 Learning human languages is about learning its cultures

  • LLMs

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2c0c We don't think at the moment (we don't 'generate' ideas), our thinking is connected

  • LLMs

• Jul 18, 2024

  4-1a4b5a Maybe consciousness is seeing your thinking mediated on some other physical form, realizing that it could’ve been put otherwise (and optionally you improve upon)

  • develop
  • LLMs
  • Consciousness

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c4d1 Web3 writing differs particularly from Web2 writing, because of the incentive structure

  • develop
  • incentives
  • media

22 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Jul 24, 2024

  RUL3 - Love bad news. Always question to falsify your idea and theory. Invalidate ASAP. How fast you can invalidate matters as much as how fast you can build them. Rule out bad explanations.

  • MentalModels

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-1c6a1d In the absence of evidence, do not assume miracles

  • MentalModels

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2t5b The term 'uncertainty principle' is doubly misleading because first of all fungibility is a physical fact and not uncertainty of anything, and second of all because it can be derived from more general principle of quantum physics

  • develop
  • MentalModels

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g1f3 We can only figure out what they know by what they do ('performance'), because we can never directly study what people know ('competence'). To assert that we can is a common error in thinking.

  • Behaviorism
  • develop
  • MentalModels
  • Mises

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1a2 The problem itself doesn't care how it's solved. Everything should be structured around solving problems.

  • MentalModels
  • categories

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1a4d 市場メカニズムにもノンマーケット・セクターにも根本的な大きな欠陥がある

  • reflexivity
  • MentalModels
  • develop
  • categories

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1c3c3a Realize that having invested time in something doesn't make it good. There is no necessary correlation between the time you put in and its usefulness.

  • MentalModels

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1c3c5 Best of all is when you can say they would’ve found this had they taken their own ideas seriously

  • MentalModels

• Jul 18, 2024

  4-1a2a When you make them say ‘no’ to anything, you make them feel as if they are in more control of the conversation

  • MentalModels

• Jul 18, 2024

  4-1a4b2a Silence can decontextualize-displace the negotiator from the negotiation

  • MentalModels

5 items with this tag.

• Aug 14, 2024

  2-1a1a1a 'Self-preservation' - Don't trigger your biological defaults (defense mode)

  • MentalModelsBiology

• Jul 28, 2024

  2-1b3a 'Circle of competence' & 'Niches' - Build a moat. Thrive in where you can.

  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsBiology

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a6c1 'Tendency to minimize energy output' - Align your incentives properly, then (almost) everything will follow

  • LearnInPublic
  • develop
  • MentalModelsBiology

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1b2e 'Algorithms' & 'Replication' - Share your problem-situation as clearly possible, so that others can make decisions without you on your behalf (i.e., multiply)

  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsBiology

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1d 'Ecosystem' & 'Thermodynamics' & 'Double-entry bookkeeping' - Everything is connected, there is no free lunch

  • multiverse
  • develop
  • MentalModelsBiology
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

9 items with this tag.

• Aug 12, 2024

  2-1b2b 'Second-order thinking' - Solve the root cause of a problem (prevention) and not symptoms. Be smart-lazy.

  • FutureSelf
  • develop
  • MentalModelsGeneral

• Jul 28, 2024

  2-1b3a 'Circle of competence' & 'Niches' - Build a moat. Thrive in where you can.

  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsBiology

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a0a 'Occam's razor' & 'Irreducibility' - Simplify the problem but don't oversimplify.

  • develop
  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsSystems

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a0b 'Thought experiment' - Don't limit yourself to binary thinking. Explore at least three possible solutions.

  • develop
  • categories
  • MentalModelsGeneral

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a1 'The map is not territory' - Find many maps as possible, across globe-time-fields, and try to bring your map closer to the territory as possible (i.e., reality)

  • MentalModelsGeneral

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a1a1b 'Hanlon's razor' - We (they) are dumber and thus less ill-intent than we think we (they) are

  • MentalModelsGeneral

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a6 'Incentives' - Incentives drive (almost) everything. Understand your incentives.

  • MentalModelsGeneral

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1b2b1 'Inversion' - Avoid stupid obvious bullshit you'd regret in the future

  • MentalModelsGeneral

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-3a 'First principles thinking' - If it's not forbidden by the laws of physics, it is possible

  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • develop

7 items with this tag.

• May 05, 2025

  2-1c2 'Specialization' - Minimizing opportunity costs maximize comparative advantages and leads to prosperity

  • history
  • develop
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a0 'Creative destruction' - Think outside the box. Evolution of ideas must be revolutionary. Knowledge creation involves rebellion against current explanatory framework.

  • categories
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1b2a 'Seizing the middle' - 'Time is the friend of someone who is properly positioned and the enemy of someone poorly positioned.'

  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1b3b 'Arbitrage' - Arbitrage both space and time (both offline and online)

  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1c 'Opportunity costs' - Look beyond the obvious. See what's hidden.

  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1c1 'Comparative advantage' - If others can do it, let them

  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1d 'Ecosystem' & 'Thermodynamics' & 'Double-entry bookkeeping' - Everything is connected, there is no free lunch

  • multiverse
  • develop
  • MentalModelsBiology
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

3 items with this tag.

• Aug 26, 2024

  2-1c1b 'Two-front war' - Deal with it effectively by knowing your priority. Use it effectively against those whose priorities are vague.

  • MentalModelsMilitaryAndWar

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a3 'Seeing the front' - Incorporate what can't be explicated

  • MentalModelsMilitaryAndWar

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1b1 'Asymmetric warfare' - Play by different rules

  • MentalModelsMilitaryAndWar

7 items with this tag.

• Jul 31, 2024

  2-1b2b2 'Multiplying by zero' - Be risk-prone but avoid ruin at all cost

  • MentalModelsNumeracy

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a5 'Sampling' - Increase your sample size with QUALITY data

  • MentalModelsNumeracy

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a6c3 'Global and local maxima' - Don't prematurely overoptimize. Occasionally throw in some 'randomness'.

  • MentalModelsNumeracy

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a6c4 'Randomness' - The appearance of 'randomness' is subjective

  • multiverse
  • categories
  • develop
  • MentalModelsNumeracy

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1b2c 'Compounding' - Permeate across the timeline

  • multiverse
  • develop
  • MentalModelsNumeracy

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1b2f 'Equivalence' - Reality doesn't care genealogy. Solving problems is what matters. How it's done matters less.

  • MentalModelsNumeracy

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-3c 'Surface area' - Manage your exposure to volatilities

  • LearnInPublic
  • develop
  • MentalModelsNumeracy

7 items with this tag.

• Aug 12, 2024

  2-3b 'Leverage' - The effort put in and its utility-results doesn't have to correlate at all. Use this to your advantage.

  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a0b2 'Relativity' - Look at the problem in as many ways as possible. You might as well find new problems.

  • develop
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a1a4a 'Probabilistic thinking' - Do not assume miracles!

  • multiverse
  • develop
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a6c 'Inertia' - In most ordinary moments the situation thinks for us, and these seemingly insignificant decisions compound.

  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1d 'Ecosystem' & 'Thermodynamics' & 'Double-entry bookkeeping' - Everything is connected, there is no free lunch

  • multiverse
  • develop
  • MentalModelsBiology
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-2b 'Critical mass' & 'Activation energy' & 'Alloying' & 'Catalysts' - Look for, or create, lollapalooza effects

  • develop
  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Jul 18, 2024

  9-2a1.1 Idea is direction. Execution is speed.

  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

17 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Aug 05, 2024

  2-1a6b 'Pavlovian association' & 'Social proof' - Understand the arbitrary association formed within your culture. There are no pure indexes for humans.

  • MentalModelsPsychology

• Jul 31, 2024

  2-1a4 'Language instinct' - Language can't exhaust mind

  • categories
  • MentalModelsPsychology

• Jul 24, 2024

  2-1a6c1a 'First-conclusion bias' - Separate the problem-defining phase of the decision-making process form the problem-solving phase

  • MentalModelsPsychology

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a0c 'Denial' - Accept the existence of Black Swans

  • MentalModelsPsychology
  • TheBlackSwan

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a0c1a 'Influence of stress' - 'In the thick of battle, you will not rise to the level of your expectations, but fall to the level of your training'

  • MentalModelsPsychology

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a1a1 'Falsification (confirmation) bias' - Always try to falsify your theory. Don't pick up similar maps.

  • MentalModelsPsychology

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a1a2 'Bias from incentives' - Explicate your culture-incentive as much as possible

  • MentalModelsPsychology

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a1a3 'Availability heuristic' - We easily recall what is salient, important, frequent, and recent

  • develop
  • MentalModelsPsychology

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a1a4 'Representativeness heuristic' - Remember the Linda test!

  • MentalModelsPsychology

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a1a5 'Narrative instinct' - Often the right explanation is one with the least intent involved

  • MentalModelsPsychology

6 items with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a0a 'Occam's razor' & 'Irreducibility' - Simplify the problem but don't oversimplify.

  • develop
  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsSystems

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1b2e 'Algorithms' & 'Replication' - Share your problem-situation as clearly possible, so that others can make decisions without you on your behalf (i.e., multiply)

  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsBiology

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1b2g 'Margin of safety' - Be redundant and resourceful

  • MentalModelsSystems

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-2a 'Emergence' - Knowledge can be created out of nothing and is unpredictable

  • MentalModelsSystems

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-2b 'Critical mass' & 'Activation energy' & 'Alloying' & 'Catalysts' - Look for, or create, lollapalooza effects

  • develop
  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3b2e Network effects + Feedback loops + Composability = Exponential growth

  • MentalModelsSystems
  • develop

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g1f3 We can only figure out what they know by what they do ('performance'), because we can never directly study what people know ('competence'). To assert that we can is a common error in thinking.

  • Behaviorism
  • develop
  • MentalModels
  • Mises

24 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Apr 26, 2025

  Ludwig von Mises

  • develop
  • multiverse
  • DanielEverett
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • Ayache
  • Spitznagel
  • symbols

• Mar 02, 2025

  2-1a6c4c We can explain things because we are multiversal objects. The multiverse implies explanatory knowledge.

  • Consciousness
  • multiverse
  • develop

• Aug 03, 2024

  2-1a6c5 'Randomness' is the opportunity to reason abductively

  • multiverse

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2e What science and creative thought in general achieves is unpredictable creation out of nothing. That is, creation of knowledge. And so is biological evolution (i.e., life).

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • multiverse
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2s The very fact that physical variables can store information, that they can interact with one another to transfer and replicate it, and that such processes are stable, all depend on the details of quantum theory

  • multiverse
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2s7d A history has to be explained in multiversal terms. The true explanation of what happened involves many other instances of me.

  • multiverse

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2t Quantum theory via diversity within fungibility allows both branching (the multiverse) and stability in the sense of what’s been branched stays branched (stable existence of each universe, allowing the classical physics as approximation)

  • multiverse
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2t3d Because creation (and growth) of knowledge is in essence error-correction, and because being wrong is way easier than being right, knowledge-creating-bearing entities will become more alike (and thrive) across the multiverse

  • Consciousness
  • multiverse
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2e1 Most of the modern languages assume that time ‘flow’

  • develop
  • multiverse

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2e7 The common-sense concept of cause and effect makes sense because 'variants' do exist somewhere in the multiverse. Nothing necessitates causes to precede their effects.

  • multiverse
  • evolution
  • develop

3 items with this tag.

• Aug 16, 2024

  10-2g1f2a1 The question is what's the brain in NOT what’s in the brain

  • develop
  • Naval

• Jul 31, 2024

  5-1b1b3 Productize yourself (as an embodiment of reality)

  • Naval

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-1b4c2 No wonder why someone who is having fun is genuinely great at what they do. Because you have to have fun to achieve great things.

  • Naval

10 items with this tag.

• May 04, 2025

  6-3a2 How you have something can (and will) matter more than what (you think) you have (e.g., DEX vs CEX - DEX will counter Maximalists movement)

  • own
  • develop

• Aug 03, 2024

  6-3b When you own something, you have an incentive to invest in it

  • own
  • develop
  • categories

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1c1d You must build your own media distribution to avoid distortion for yourself and others

  • own

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3a Ownership is not just about physical-digital asset, but about yourself

  • categories
  • own
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3a1 You have to own your own creation. The difference between creator and influencer is the gap of digital property rights.

  • own
  • categories

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3b0.1 When you own something, you can go anywhere

  • own
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3b1 Users become owners with tokens

  • own
  • categories

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3c When you are invested, you'll try to own it

  • own
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3z A world without ownership is a world with less creativity and human flourishing

  • own
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1b3d Monetary policies can come first and the currency circulation can come later (or symbiotically-simultaneously), not vice versa (i.e., bottom-up vs top-down)

  • develop
  • Spitznagel
  • own
  • reflexivity

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2s7b1 The laws of physics provides the measure (provides a meaning to proportions and averages for infinite sets) for the multiverse

  • probability

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2t4a Quantum computation is possible thanks to fungibility

  • QuantumComputer
  • develop

20 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• May 31, 2025

  13-1a3a2d3b Value scales and money are reflexive—value scales become more actionable with money, because money changes the topology of value scales

  • develop
  • reflexivity

• May 21, 2025

  13-1a3a2e2a Money and differences in the economy are reflexive

  • reflexivity

• Apr 28, 2025

  11-3.3 'The law of diminishing returns' - We can recalibrate the curve so that we are always at the growing phase of the S-curve!

  • develop
  • reflexivity

• Oct 19, 2024

  10-2g1f2c It's as though everything from culture-grammar-symbol-DNA-brain evolved so that high accuracy correspondences were made easier to achieve

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • evolution
  • reflexivity
  • symbols
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-1a1a Our mind is not necessarily composed linearly or hierarchically. It could be a connected web of nodes and reflexive.

  • reflexivity

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2f1b5 検証と反証には非対称性がある

  • reflexivity

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-1a2c 情報文化史は編集技術の歴史

  • reflexivity
  • Balaji
  • 松岡正剛
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-1c1 'Grammar of society' - Society and culture are connected and constructed in grammar-like ways. Individuals are 'fillers' for slots in a culture-grammar.

  • reflexivity

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-1c3 Think of yourself as a machine operating within a machine and know that you have the ability to alter your machines to produce better outcomes.

  • reflexivity

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g1f2b The brain and symbols evolved reflexively to enhance communication to deal with cultural and sexual selectional pressures.

  • symbols
  • evolution
  • reflexivity
  • 松岡正剛
  • develop

17 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• May 31, 2025

  13-1a3a2d5 Money is one of the best explanatory tools available, but not perfect

  • revisit

• May 31, 2025

  13-8a2a Money allows you to deal with change per se, since there is no substantive difference between changes in values scales of others and that of himself in the future

  • develop
  • revisit

• May 31, 2025

  13-1a3a1i The market’s encouragement of successful forecasters fosters a relation of final equilibrium between present capital value and actual future rents

  • revisit

• May 31, 2025

  3-1a4b7 The monetary account will increasingly explain the world—especially as it pertains to the human actions—though never exhaustively

  • revisit

• May 27, 2025

  13-9a0 “The price is the first and most obvious indication of the nature of the alternatives” – Philip Wicksteed

  • Ayache
  • revisit

• May 27, 2025

  Murray Rothbard

  • develop
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • volatility
  • Ayache

• May 24, 2025

  13-1a3a1f Success in the money economy implies adaptation to others (including distant ones), not merely to its surrounding environment

  • develop
  • revisit

• May 14, 2025

  13-5b4 A man is necessarily a consumer, but not necessarily a producer

  • revisit

• May 12, 2025

  13-5b2 Everyone must consume

  • revisit

• Apr 26, 2025

  Ludwig von Mises

  • develop
  • multiverse
  • DanielEverett
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • Ayache
  • Spitznagel
  • symbols

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1c2a Your mind, including the unconscious, has to know the problems you explicitly have

  • SlowBurns

11 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Apr 26, 2025

  Ludwig von Mises

  • develop
  • multiverse
  • DanielEverett
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • Ayache
  • Spitznagel
  • symbols

• Apr 26, 2025

  Saifedean Ammous

  • develop
  • elaborate
  • TODO
  • revisit
  • Spitznagel
  • FutureSelf

• Feb 06, 2025

  Hans-Hermann Hoppe

  • develop
  • Spitznagel

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a7a1 (1) Increase your productivity; (2) Don't let your income increase faster than your productivity; (3) Don't let your debt increase faster than your income

  • develop
  • Spitznagel

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-1b1a4a Being hedged in the long-run entails being long optionality

  • develop
  • multiverse
  • Spitznagel

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-1b1d Invest in volatility (literally)

  • Spitznagel
  • Taleb

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-2a Addiction lessens one’s ability to experience joy in life.

  • Spitznagel
  • MentalModels

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3b2.3a Credit is not money

  • develop
  • Spitznagel

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3b2.3c When the money is printed, financial assets appreciate

  • Spitznagel
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1b3d Monetary policies can come first and the currency circulation can come later (or symbiotically-simultaneously), not vice versa (i.e., bottom-up vs top-down)

  • develop
  • Spitznagel
  • own
  • reflexivity

15 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Apr 26, 2025

  Ludwig von Mises

  • develop
  • multiverse
  • DanielEverett
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • Ayache
  • Spitznagel
  • symbols

• Oct 19, 2024

  10-2g1f2c It's as though everything from culture-grammar-symbol-DNA-brain evolved so that high accuracy correspondences were made easier to achieve

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • evolution
  • reflexivity
  • symbols
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2j1 Accuracy is the closeness, as far as is perceptible, of the rendered environment to the intended one (intension)

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • symbols
  • evolution
  • Consciousness

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2j2 Icons are intentional resemblances. It is 'about' something.

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • symbols
  • evolution
  • Consciousness

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2d1c Evolution achieved that jump to universality with the DNA genetic code

  • Universality
  • evolution
  • symbols
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2f3a Learning human languages consists of constantly conjecturing-guessing the meaning of the words being used

  • develop
  • symbols

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g1f2b The brain and symbols evolved reflexively to enhance communication to deal with cultural and sexual selectional pressures.

  • symbols
  • evolution
  • reflexivity
  • 松岡正剛
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2c1 Symbols are universal. Being arbitrary and contingent means it can represent anything, and do everything.

  • Universality
  • develop
  • symbols

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2c2 Human minds are capable of knowing what ideas mean

  • develop
  • symbols
  • DanielEverett

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2e7 Abstraction is universal, precisely because they are in the abstract (i.e., itself not contingently constrained by its own physicality)

  • develop
  • Universality
  • symbols
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • infinity
  • BorrowedCreativity

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-1a2e9 Emic vision = Interpreting what you are seeing as symbols

  • Synechism

2 items with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-1b1d Invest in volatility (literally)

  • Spitznagel
  • Taleb

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-2c1 You perceive yourself by what you do repeatedly, just as you judge others by their routine behaviors.

  • develop
  • MentalModels
  • Taleb

3 items with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a0c 'Denial' - Accept the existence of Black Swans

  • MentalModelsPsychology
  • TheBlackSwan

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a0d Don't confuse the Grey Swans with the Black Swans

  • TheBlackSwan

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-2c2c The probability of extinction is effectively independent of its age (Van Valen)

  • TheBlackSwan

2 items with this tag.

• Aug 06, 2024

  4-1a5a If you properly set up the conversation you only need a handful of conversations for insights (e.g., via client slicing and segmentation)

  • TheMomTest

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1b2b1 The best is seeing the front by yourself, because inexplicit and unconscious ideas exist between heads not within them

  • TheMomTest

30 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Feb 12, 2025

  David Deutsch

  • develop
  • revisit
  • TheTuringPrinciple

• Oct 19, 2024

  10-2g1f2c It's as though everything from culture-grammar-symbol-DNA-brain evolved so that high accuracy correspondences were made easier to achieve

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • evolution
  • reflexivity
  • symbols
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-1a2e2 Languages are not innate to humans

  • TheTuringPrinciple

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2b3 Computational universality is about computers inside our physical world being related to each other under the universal laws of physics to which we (thereby) have access (because human brains are computers)

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • computation

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2e What science and creative thought in general achieves is unpredictable creation out of nothing. That is, creation of knowledge. And so is biological evolution (i.e., life).

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • multiverse
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2f The virtual-reality rendering of their environment (i.e., creating knowledge about its niches) is the characteristic means by which human beings (and life in general) survive

  • TheTuringPrinciple

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2h Life is associated with a fundamental principle of physics – the Turing principle – since it is the means by which virtual reality was first realized in nature. (Life = physical embodiment of knowledge = the Turing principle)

  • TheTuringPrinciple

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2i Genes (life) are programs that embody the laws of physics (of their own niches)

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • evolution
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2i0 Life is computation in the sense of assuming other object (i.e., genes assuming its surrounding environment)

  • evolution
  • computation
  • TheTuringPrinciple

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2j1 Accuracy is the closeness, as far as is perceptible, of the rendered environment to the intended one (intension)

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • symbols
  • evolution
  • Consciousness

6 items with this tag.

• May 27, 2025

  Murray Rothbard

  • develop
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • volatility
  • Ayache

• May 24, 2025

  There are things that cannot be measured

  • TODO

• May 20, 2025

  13-1a3a2e3 Any prior money must necessarily trace its origin back to the original money

  • TODO
  • develop

• Apr 26, 2025

  Ludwig von Mises

  • develop
  • multiverse
  • DanielEverett
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • Ayache
  • Spitznagel
  • symbols

• Apr 26, 2025

  Saifedean Ammous

  • develop
  • elaborate
  • TODO
  • revisit
  • Spitznagel
  • FutureSelf

• Apr 07, 2025

  Eric Voskuil

  • develop
  • revisit
  • TODO

14 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Jul 31, 2024

  5-1b2 Don’t invest in prediction, because knowledge is inherently unpredictable

  • develop
  • Universality

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-1a2f You are redundant if you are flexible and (close to being) universal - that is, composable and interoperable

  • Universality
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2d1c Evolution achieved that jump to universality with the DNA genetic code

  • Universality
  • evolution
  • symbols
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g1b Science is headed towards less and less parochialism because we can be honest with what knowledge is. That is, towards universality.

  • develop
  • Universality

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g1c Universality of people

  • develop
  • Universality

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g1j A good explanation explain more than what they were originally designed to

  • categories
  • Universality
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2c Indexes are physical because they merely ‘indicate’ and hence do not require culture. Symbols are cultural. Put differently, indexes are analog and symbols digital.

  • Universality
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2c0 A system is universal if it contains enough expressibility to represent anything. It can do anything and everything.

  • Universality
  • TheTuringPrinciple

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2c0a Universal systems retain the capacity to represent knowledge that is not yet created, thus can be useful in the future.

  • Universality
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2c1 Symbols are universal. Being arbitrary and contingent means it can represent anything, and do everything.

  • Universality
  • develop
  • symbols

4 items with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2e5 Abstractions exist and affect physical objects. Knowledge makes enormous difference in the world.

  • unseen

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2e6a Science is about understanding the whole of reality, of which only an infinitesimal proportion is ever experienced

  • multiverse
  • unseen

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g3d Behaviors can be replicators even when its meanings are not (properly) understood, because we can guess the meaning of memes. For rational memes, knowledge is THE replicator.

  • unseen
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1a4a Growth in revenue and in user base are not the same thing.

  • incentives
  • unseen

4 items with this tag.

• May 27, 2025

  Murray Rothbard

  • develop
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • volatility
  • Ayache

• Feb 02, 2025

  Balaji Srinivasan

  • volatility

• Jul 18, 2024

  12-1a Turning constants into variables increases volatility

  • categories
  • develop
  • volatility

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1b4b3 When you dump oscillations, you dump low end as well as high end

  • LearnInPublic
  • volatility

2 items with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-1a2c 情報文化史は編集技術の歴史

  • reflexivity
  • Balaji
  • 松岡正剛
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g1f2b The brain and symbols evolved reflexively to enhance communication to deal with cultural and sexual selectional pressures.

  • symbols
  • evolution
  • reflexivity
  • 松岡正剛
  • develop