18 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Dec 24, 2025

  1-1a5b4.4 Real-time calibration (i.e., recalibration) lets you adapt to the changing landscape

  • revisit
  • develop
  • Ayache

• Nov 19, 2025

  7-1a2a4 バロックの本質は逸脱

  • Ayache
  • develop

• Nov 18, 2025

  10-2g3d1.1 Humans create their own cause

  • Ayache
  • develop
  • revisit

• Nov 09, 2025

  3-1a4b5 Anything can be priced in principle. But not everything will be.

  • develop
  • Ayache

• Nov 08, 2025

  5-1b1a2c0.1 Perfect replication is impossible

  • Ayache
  • develop

• Nov 08, 2025

  Murray Rothbard

  • develop
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • volatility
  • Ayache

• Nov 06, 2025

  Ludwig von Mises

  • develop
  • multiverse
  • DanielEverett
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • Ayache
  • Spitznagel
  • symbols

• Nov 05, 2025

  2-1b2b0.1 Ask - What’s the correct very-long-term solution; How do I solve this using and committing the minimum amount of time possible; Does this really matter (almost always, no)

  • develop
  • Spitznagel
  • Ayache

• Sep 29, 2025

  3-1c2e0 There is no minimum idea

  • Ayache
  • develop

• Sep 11, 2025

  5-1b1a2c0.2 Analogue information (e.g., tones of voice, EQ) cannot be perfectly-exhaustively represented by digital systems (e.g., universal writing systems)

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • Ayache

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-1a2c 情報文化史は編集技術の歴史

  • reflexivity
  • Balaji
  • 松岡正剛
  • develop

1 item with this tag.

• Oct 21, 2025

  10-2g1f3 We can only figure out what they know by what they do ('performance'), because we can never directly study what people know ('competence'). To assert that we can is a common error in thinking.

  • revisit
  • Behaviorism
  • develop
  • MentalModels

8 items with this tag.

• Nov 14, 2025

  1-2e1 Be ambitious but leverage what you already know

  • BorrowedCreativity

• Sep 04, 2025

  9-1b0a When you have learned something, the way it exists in your mind is the same as the way it exists in the mind of the inventor

  • BorrowedCreativity
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g New theory is constrained in terms of what it can say, since it must either be consistent with existing theories, or contradict them but address the problems thereby raised

  • BorrowedCreativity

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2e7 Abstraction is universal, precisely because they are in the abstract (i.e., itself not contingently constrained by its own physicality)

  • develop
  • Universality
  • symbols
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • infinity
  • BorrowedCreativity

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g5 Every invention is built up over time within culture

  • BorrowedCreativity

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-1b1a1 Improving on already existent technology by removing one of its restraints amounts to innovation

  • BorrowedCreativity

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-2c2b1 Focus on the fundamentals, on the deeper ideas closer to abstract knowledge, on what matters, and build yourself (including technology) around it

  • develop
  • BorrowedCreativity

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1b5a You can create problems. Not in the sense of causing problems, but literally creatively creating them. There are good problems and bad problems. Work on and solve good problems.

  • BorrowedCreativity

4 items with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-1a2a There is no human nature if by this we mean a kind of a priori knowledge common to all and only to humans

  • Buddhism

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g1c3a Humans have no nature and no self apart from the experiences they have united in their memories (the Buddhist notion of anatman - 'no self')

  • Buddhism

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g1c3b Self = A memory of skandhas (form, sensation, perception, mental formations, and consciousness)

  • Buddhism

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2e9d There are no 'species' in nature. Reality doesn't distinguish life by categories.

  • categories
  • develop
  • Buddhism
  • TheTuringPrinciple

66 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Nov 19, 2025

  2-1a0 'Creative destruction' - Think outside the box. Evolution of ideas must be revolutionary. Knowledge creation involves rebellion against current explanatory framework.

  • categories
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Nov 19, 2025

  4-1a4b2b1 'One-of-those' over one-off - Learn from history (not just from your 'own' experience)

  • revisit
  • categories

• Nov 12, 2025

  3-1a3 Multidisciplinary thinking is the most realistic thinking

  • revisit
  • categories

• Nov 10, 2025

  9-4b2a1f Two-way debate benefits from criticism

  • revisit
  • categories

• Nov 09, 2025

  5-1b1b2 Flow to the most interesting, because the Fun Criterion doesn’t distinguish what’s fun via categories. Fun just means fun.

  • categories

• Nov 03, 2025

  11-2 Capital market aligns financial incentives with curiosity. More precisely, capital market constrains curiosity with financial incentives.

  • develop
  • incentives
  • categories

• Oct 23, 2025

  3-1b1a1 People think big ideas are answers, but often the real insight is in the question. The question-answer categorization is arbitrary.

  • categories

• Oct 21, 2025

  9-3a Luck-Skill dichotomy is at best arbitrary. We can train our ability to create ‘luck’.

  • develop
  • categories

• Oct 19, 2025

  6-3b When you own something, you have an incentive to invest in it

  • own
  • develop
  • categories

• Oct 01, 2025

  6-3a Ownership is not just about physical-digital asset, but about yourself

  • categories
  • own
  • develop

3 items with this tag.

• Oct 25, 2025

  12-1d Flexible media will surface contingency

  • composability

• Feb 02, 2025

  Chris Dixon

  • categories
  • develop
  • composability

• Aug 14, 2024

  8-1c2a What matters is the creativity per se, because non-creative parts will be made easier

  • develop
  • composability

2 items with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2b3 Computational universality is about computers inside our physical world being related to each other under the universal laws of physics to which we (thereby) have access (because human brains are computers)

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • computation

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2i0 Life is computation in the sense of assuming other object (i.e., genes assuming its surrounding environment)

  • evolution
  • computation
  • TheTuringPrinciple

7 items with this tag.

• Sep 04, 2025

  1-2g2t3d Because creation (and growth) of knowledge is in essence error-correction, and because being wrong is way easier than being right, knowledge-creating-bearing entities will become more alike (and thrive) across the multiverse

  • Consciousness
  • multiverse
  • develop
  • revisit

• Jun 09, 2025

  1-2g2l3 We create knowledge actively. We are more than biological life.

  • develop
  • Consciousness

• Mar 02, 2025

  2-1a6c4c We can explain things because we are multiversal objects. The multiverse implies explanatory knowledge.

  • Consciousness
  • multiverse
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2j1 Accuracy is the closeness, as far as is perceptible, of the rendered environment to the intended one (intension)

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • symbols
  • evolution
  • Consciousness

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2j2 Icons are intentional resemblances. It is 'about' something.

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • symbols
  • evolution
  • Consciousness

• Jul 18, 2024

  4-1a4b5a Maybe consciousness is seeing your thinking mediated on some other physical form, realizing that it could’ve been put otherwise (and optionally you improve upon)

  • develop
  • LLMs
  • Consciousness

• Jul 18, 2024

  4-1a4b5b Deutsch - The solution to the problem of consciousness will invoke no specific quantum-mechanical processes, but it will depend crucially on the quantum-mechanical, and especially the multi-universe, world-picture.

  • multiverse
  • Consciousness

5 items with this tag.

• Nov 06, 2025

  7-1a4a1 Wealth created ≠ the P&L of a business. Remember - you get what you measure.

  • develop
  • ConstructorTheory

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2r The Turing principle, if true, dictates that we can form accurate theories about reality. Knowledge to the Turing principle is what steam engines are to the principles of thermodynamics. That is, the Turing principle implies knowledge.

  • ConstructorTheory
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a7a Curiosity (i.e., the Fun Criterion) leads you to wealth, because wealth is knowledge

  • ConstructorTheory
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1b2e1 Understanding comes from copying the information-knowledge as information-knowledge medium; not from copying the substrate

  • ConstructorTheory

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-1b1a2c2 Constructor Theory is all about knowledge of how to correct errors (primarily of our parochiality-physicality) and thus optimism

  • ConstructorTheory

5 items with this tag.

• Nov 19, 2025

  12-1a2a1 Free markets and free speech, by definition, transcend the concepts of nation-states

  • develop
  • contingency
  • revisit

• Nov 03, 2025

  7-1a2a3 Win at the corner then come back (傾く・バロック)

  • contingency

• Jun 05, 2025

  12-1a2a2 資本は資本の一元性を好み、商品は商品の多様性を好む

  • develop
  • contingency

• Jul 18, 2024

  12-1a3 The tangible and explicit (can) come in last in the evolution of organic community

  • develop
  • contingency

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3b2.3 Dollar is state network for payment

  • contingency
  • develop

2 items with this tag.

• Nov 06, 2025

  Ludwig von Mises

  • develop
  • multiverse
  • DanielEverett
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • Ayache
  • Spitznagel
  • symbols

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2c2 Human minds are capable of knowing what ideas mean

  • develop
  • symbols
  • DanielEverett

449 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Dec 29, 2025

  Michael Burry

  • revisit
  • TODO
  • method
  • develop

• Dec 27, 2025

  Li Lu

  • revisit
  • develop
  • TODO

• Dec 24, 2025

  1-1a5b4.4 Real-time calibration (i.e., recalibration) lets you adapt to the changing landscape

  • revisit
  • develop
  • Ayache

• Dec 24, 2025

  2-1c1a1 Companies will outsource everything that isn’t their value proposition. To build successful B2B company, simply be the outsource.

  • develop

• Dec 24, 2025

  3-1c3c4.2 “Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect”

  • develop

• Dec 24, 2025

  3-1c3c4.3 “Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy only when others are fearful”

  • revisit
  • develop

• Dec 24, 2025

  8-2b3 On-chain gets you immutability, verifiability, monetization. Just as online gets you distribution-sharing-collaboration.

  • develop

• Dec 17, 2025

  1-1a5a3 Knowledge is about knowing the edge

  • develop

• Dec 17, 2025

  2-1aa Privacy is the absence of information leakage

  • develop

• Dec 17, 2025

  2-3a1 Always ask - what does this even MEAN

  • develop

1 item with this tag.

• Apr 26, 2025

  Saifedean Ammous

  • develop
  • elaborate
  • TODO
  • revisit
  • Spitznagel
  • FutureSelf

13 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Sep 19, 2025

  13–5b2i The rate of interest will be uniform in the evenly rotating economy only when everyone becomes the same—i.e., when all individuals have identical time-preference schedules, expectations, and subjective valuations

  • revisit
  • develop
  • ERE

• Sep 19, 2025

  13-5g1 The ERE (evenly rotating economy) is not the condition but the effect of thought experiment

  • revisit
  • ERE

• Jul 17, 2025

  13-5b2d Production processes in the evenly rotating economy are interchangeable, hence the analysis becomes scale-independent and substrate-independent

  • ERE
  • revisit

• Jul 17, 2025

  13-5b2d1 In the evenly rotating economy (ERE), every isolable factor will earn its DMVP and this will be its price since factor units are interchangeable

  • ERE

• Jul 12, 2025

  13-5a2 Higher stage production processes will benefit both nominally and in real terms, after the effect of saving plays out, in the evenly rotating economy going through progressing phase

  • ERE

• Jul 10, 2025

  13-1a3a5 The concept of an equilibrium price presupposes a world without further subjective re-evaluations or change

  • ERE

• Jul 10, 2025

  13-5b2e There is no substantial difference between debt and equity, at least in the evenly rotating economy

  • ERE
  • revisit

• Jul 07, 2025

  13-3a0 The evenly rotating economy (ERE) disregards knowledge creation

  • ERE

• Jul 06, 2025

  13-5b2b Because of money, the rate of return will tend to be uniform throughout the length and breadth of the production structure

  • revisit
  • ERE

• Jul 06, 2025

  13-5b2c There is no time inconsistency in the evenly rotating economy (ERE)

  • ERE
  • TODO
  • revisit

12 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Jul 04, 2025

  10-2d2e9e Evolution of 'other life-forms' must evoke the influence of human existence

  • evolution
  • categories

• Oct 19, 2024

  10-2g1f2c It's as though everything from culture-grammar-symbol-DNA-brain evolved so that high accuracy correspondences were made easier to achieve

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • evolution
  • reflexivity
  • symbols
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2i Genes (life) are programs that embody the laws of physics (of their own niches)

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • evolution
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2i0 Life is computation in the sense of assuming other object (i.e., genes assuming its surrounding environment)

  • evolution
  • computation
  • TheTuringPrinciple

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2j1 Accuracy is the closeness, as far as is perceptible, of the rendered environment to the intended one (intension)

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • symbols
  • evolution
  • Consciousness

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2j2 Icons are intentional resemblances. It is 'about' something.

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • symbols
  • evolution
  • Consciousness

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2m The existence of highly adapted replicators depends on the Turing principle because those are in essence universal virtual-reality generators. Explicit reference to replicators, evolution, or biology, are not necessary.

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • evolution

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2o Evolution is a well-established fact, and itself not a theory. Only the explanations of how evolution happens or looks are theories (e.g., natural selection, genetic processes, and family trees).

  • evolution

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2d1c Evolution achieved that jump to universality with the DNA genetic code

  • Universality
  • evolution
  • symbols
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2e7 The common-sense concept of cause and effect makes sense because 'variants' do exist somewhere in the multiverse. Nothing necessitates causes to precede their effects.

  • multiverse
  • evolution
  • develop

9 items with this tag.

• Nov 11, 2025

  2-1b2b 'Second-order thinking' - Solve the root cause of a problem (prevention) and not symptoms. Be smart-lazy.

  • FutureSelf
  • MentalModelsGeneral

• Oct 28, 2025

  4-1a4b2b Being reactive is like being analog in the heat of the moment

  • develop
  • FutureSelf

• Sep 13, 2025

  5-1b4b3 Time beats timing

  • develop
  • FutureSelf

• Apr 26, 2025

  Saifedean Ammous

  • develop
  • elaborate
  • TODO
  • revisit
  • Spitznagel
  • FutureSelf

• Aug 30, 2024

  4-1a4b6a When you write down, you are helping yourself both now and in the future

  • FutureSelf

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1c1 Learning with intent to use them in the future (i.e., performance-output-oriented) filters down information, while constantly reminding you of the very problem-situation you are trying to solve and the very purpose that comes with it.

  • FutureSelf

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1c3d2 Well defined problems are completable, and allow you to take small steps

  • FutureSelf

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1c3d3 When problems are so well defined, your future self might be able to solve new problems by reusing and recombining them

  • FutureSelf

• Jul 18, 2024

  QUE5 - What are the best returns I can sustain for the longest period of time

  • FutureSelf

13 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Sep 19, 2025

  2-1c2 'Specialization' - Minimizing opportunity costs maximize comparative advantages and leads to prosperity

  • history
  • develop
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Jul 04, 2025

  8-1c3a Internet turned everyone into publisher. Crypto can turn everyone into investor.

  • history

• Jun 23, 2025

  7-1d2a2 Founders must be legitimate and competent. Pay attention to the selection mechanism, and be aware if otherwise.

  • history

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c3a1 Internet vs Telecom will recur in Crypto vs Financial Services

  • history

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c3b Farming became the most common job during the 19th century

  • history

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c3c Manufacturing became the most common job during the 20th century

  • history

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c4a Smartphones skyrocketed online screen time

  • history

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c4a1 iPhone and texting (along with visual voicemail) boosted each other

  • history

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c4a2 Twitter’s 140-character limit was useful constraint

  • history

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c4b Popular magazines boosted and was boosted by literacy

  • history

8 items with this tag.

• Nov 30, 2025

  7-1a4a Growth in revenue and in user base are not the same thing.

  • revisit
  • incentives
  • unseen

• Nov 03, 2025

  11-2 Capital market aligns financial incentives with curiosity. More precisely, capital market constrains curiosity with financial incentives.

  • develop
  • incentives
  • categories

• Sep 29, 2025

  7-1a4b Understanding the measurement-constraints amounts to understanding the system-incentives. That is, creating explanations.

  • incentives
  • develop

• Jul 04, 2025

  6-1b You either have to realign the incentives of capitalist entities you are outsourcing your health, or you have to take care of yourself

  • incentives

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a4a Sometimes the best information is the least transmissible.

  • incentives

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c4d1 Web3 writing differs particularly from Web2 writing, because of the incentive structure

  • develop
  • incentives
  • media

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c4d2 Web2 writing is enmeshed in Web2 incentive structure

  • incentives

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-2b Crypto will disrupt everything because it can change how organizations are formed, monetized, and exited. It could take decades to play out.

  • incentives
  • develop

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2e7 Abstraction is universal, precisely because they are in the abstract (i.e., itself not contingently constrained by its own physicality)

  • develop
  • Universality
  • symbols
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • infinity
  • BorrowedCreativity

1 item with this tag.

• Sep 24, 2025

  2-1b2b3 Don't invest what you can't afford to lose

  • investment

11 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Dec 17, 2025

  1-1a5b5 Shipping perfection means you are too late - you have to find a balance of finding the right moment and being fixable

  • revisit
  • LearnInPublic

• Oct 28, 2025

  2-1a6c1 'Tendency to minimize energy output' - Align your incentives properly, then (almost) everything will follow

  • LearnInPublic
  • develop
  • MentalModelsBiology

• Sep 29, 2025

  5-1b1b1a1a Pareto principle (or law of the vital few) - 80% of the effects come from 20% of the causes

  • LearnInPublic

• Sep 15, 2025

  7-1b4b4 It’s better to take the risk of telling others about your ideas than to hide them

  • LearnInPublic
  • develop
  • categories

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-3c 'Surface area' - Manage your exposure to volatilities

  • LearnInPublic
  • develop
  • MentalModelsNumeracy

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1c1d0a Zipf’s law distribution = Passive consumption make up 99% of activities on the internet, and less than 1% even comment on content, and much less than THAT actually create something new

  • develop
  • LearnInPublic

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1b0 The creator-user (or producer-consumer) distinction is arbitrary. There are no 'producers' and 'consumers' in the non-human world.

  • LearnInPublic
  • develop
  • categories

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1b0a The producer-consumer distinction is blurred in non-profit organizations and open source projects. Likely why their diffusions are slow.

  • develop
  • LearnInPublic

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1b4b3 When you dump oscillations, you dump low end as well as high end

  • LearnInPublic
  • volatility

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1b4b5 Any kind of expertise is valuable, and some people will take unexpected action to capture that value such that it will be serendipitous to you

  • LearnInPublic

3 items with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2f3 Learning human languages is about learning its cultures

  • LLMs

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2c0c We don't think at the moment (we don't 'generate' ideas), our thinking is connected

  • LLMs

• Jul 18, 2024

  4-1a4b5a Maybe consciousness is seeing your thinking mediated on some other physical form, realizing that it could’ve been put otherwise (and optionally you improve upon)

  • develop
  • LLMs
  • Consciousness

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1c4d1 Web3 writing differs particularly from Web2 writing, because of the incentive structure

  • develop
  • incentives
  • media

23 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Nov 27, 2025

  4-1e1 Loss aversion - e.g., the prospect of competitor buying you, and having have to acquire you later at higher cost, are the two biggest concerns which motivate potential acquirers

  • MentalModels

• Nov 19, 2025

  5-2c2b The Lindy effect

  • revisit
  • develop
  • MentalModels

• Nov 19, 2025

  Sherlock Holmes

  • MentalModels
  • MentalModelsBiology
  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsNumeracy
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon
  • MentalModelsPsychology
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Nov 19, 2025

  3-1c3c3a Realize that having invested time in something doesn't make it good. There is no necessary correlation between the time you put in and its usefulness.

  • MentalModels

• Nov 18, 2025

  5-2c1 You perceive yourself by what you do repeatedly, just as you judge others by their routine behaviors.

  • develop
  • MentalModels
  • Taleb

• Oct 26, 2025

  3-1c3c5 Best of all is when you can say they would’ve found this had they taken their own ideas seriously

  • MentalModels

• Oct 21, 2025

  10-2g1f3 We can only figure out what they know by what they do ('performance'), because we can never directly study what people know ('competence'). To assert that we can is a common error in thinking.

  • revisit
  • Behaviorism
  • develop
  • MentalModels

• Oct 01, 2025

  5-2d1 Procrastinators often follow exactly the wrong track. They try to minimize their commitments, assuming that if they have only a few things to do, they will quit procrastinating and get them done.

  • MentalModels

• Sep 19, 2025

  5-1b1a8 ‘Opportunity cost' and 'comparative advantage' must be rooted in explanations. Never use them as ad hoc criteria.

  • MentalModels
  • develop

• Aug 19, 2025

  RUL3 - Love bad news. Always question to falsify your idea and theory. Invalidate ASAP. How fast you can invalidate matters as much as how fast you can build them. Rule out bad explanations.

  • MentalModels

6 items with this tag.

• Nov 19, 2025

  Sherlock Holmes

  • MentalModels
  • MentalModelsBiology
  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsNumeracy
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon
  • MentalModelsPsychology
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Nov 19, 2025

  2-1b2e 'Algorithms' & 'Replication' - Share your problem-situation as clearly possible, so that others can make decisions without you on your behalf (i.e., multiply)

  • revisit
  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsBiology

• Oct 28, 2025

  2-1a6c1 'Tendency to minimize energy output' - Align your incentives properly, then (almost) everything will follow

  • LearnInPublic
  • develop
  • MentalModelsBiology

• Sep 16, 2025

  2-1a1a1a 'Self-preservation' - Don't trigger your biological defaults (defense mode)

  • MentalModelsBiology

• Jun 04, 2025

  2-1d 'Ecosystem' & 'Thermodynamics' & 'Double-entry bookkeeping' - Everything is connected, there is no free lunch

  • multiverse
  • develop
  • MentalModelsBiology
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Jul 28, 2024

  2-1b3a 'Circle of competence' & 'Niches' - Build a moat. Thrive in where you can.

  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsBiology

10 items with this tag.

• Nov 19, 2025

  2-1b2b1 'Inversion' - Avoid stupid obvious bullshit you'd regret in the future

  • MentalModelsGeneral

• Nov 19, 2025

  Sherlock Holmes

  • MentalModels
  • MentalModelsBiology
  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsNumeracy
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon
  • MentalModelsPsychology
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Nov 11, 2025

  2-1b2b 'Second-order thinking' - Solve the root cause of a problem (prevention) and not symptoms. Be smart-lazy.

  • FutureSelf
  • MentalModelsGeneral

• Oct 26, 2025

  2-1a6 'Incentives' - Incentives drive (almost) everything. Understand your incentives.

  • MentalModelsGeneral

• Sep 17, 2025

  2-1a1 'The map is not territory' - Find many maps as possible, across globe-time-fields, and try to bring your map closer to the territory as possible (i.e., reality)

  • MentalModelsGeneral

• Aug 25, 2025

  2-1a0a 'Occam's razor' & 'Irreducibility' - Simplify the problem but don't oversimplify.

  • develop
  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsSystems

• Jun 27, 2025

  2-1a1a1b 'Hanlon's razor' - We (they) are dumber and thus less ill-intent than we think we (they) are

  • MentalModelsGeneral

• Jun 25, 2025

  2-1a0b 'Thought experiment' - Don't limit yourself to binary thinking. Explore at least three possible solutions.

  • develop
  • categories
  • MentalModelsGeneral

• Jun 21, 2025

  2-3a 'First principles thinking' - If it's not forbidden by the laws of physics, it is possible

  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • develop

• Jul 28, 2024

  2-1b3a 'Circle of competence' & 'Niches' - Build a moat. Thrive in where you can.

  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsBiology

8 items with this tag.

• Nov 19, 2025

  2-1a0 'Creative destruction' - Think outside the box. Evolution of ideas must be revolutionary. Knowledge creation involves rebellion against current explanatory framework.

  • categories
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Nov 19, 2025

  Sherlock Holmes

  • MentalModels
  • MentalModelsBiology
  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsNumeracy
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon
  • MentalModelsPsychology
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Nov 14, 2025

  2-1c 'Opportunity costs' - Look beyond the obvious. See what's hidden.

  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Oct 23, 2025

  2-1c1 'Comparative advantage' - If others can do it, let them

  • revisit
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Sep 19, 2025

  2-1c2 'Specialization' - Minimizing opportunity costs maximize comparative advantages and leads to prosperity

  • history
  • develop
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Jun 27, 2025

  2-1b2a 'Seizing the middle' - 'Time is the friend of someone who is properly positioned and the enemy of someone poorly positioned.'

  • revisit
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Jun 04, 2025

  2-1d 'Ecosystem' & 'Thermodynamics' & 'Double-entry bookkeeping' - Everything is connected, there is no free lunch

  • multiverse
  • develop
  • MentalModelsBiology
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1b3b 'Arbitrage' - Arbitrage both space and time (both offline and online)

  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

3 items with this tag.

• Dec 24, 2025

  2-1a3 'Seeing the front' - Incorporate what can't be explicated

  • revisit
  • MentalModelsMilitaryAndWar

• Sep 27, 2025

  2-1c1b 'Two-front war' - Deal with it effectively by knowing your priority. Use it effectively against those whose priorities are vague.

  • MentalModelsMilitaryAndWar

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1b1 'Asymmetric warfare' - Play by different rules

  • MentalModelsMilitaryAndWar

8 items with this tag.

• Dec 27, 2025

  2-1b2b2 'Multiplying by zero' - Be risk-prone but avoid ruin at all cost

  • MentalModelsNumeracy

• Dec 16, 2025

  2-1a6c3 'Global and local maxima' - Don't prematurely overoptimize. Occasionally throw in some 'randomness'.

  • MentalModelsNumeracy

• Nov 19, 2025

  Sherlock Holmes

  • MentalModels
  • MentalModelsBiology
  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsNumeracy
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon
  • MentalModelsPsychology
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Oct 21, 2025

  2-1b2f 'Equivalence' - Reality doesn't care genealogy. Solving problems is what matters. How it's done matters less.

  • MentalModelsNumeracy

• Jun 23, 2025

  2-1a5 'Sampling' - Increase your sample size with QUALITY data

  • MentalModelsNumeracy

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a6c4 'Randomness' - The appearance of 'randomness' is subjective

  • multiverse
  • categories
  • develop
  • MentalModelsNumeracy

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1b2c 'Compounding' - Permeate across the timeline

  • multiverse
  • develop
  • MentalModelsNumeracy

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-3c 'Surface area' - Manage your exposure to volatilities

  • LearnInPublic
  • develop
  • MentalModelsNumeracy

8 items with this tag.

• Nov 19, 2025

  Sherlock Holmes

  • MentalModels
  • MentalModelsBiology
  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsNumeracy
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon
  • MentalModelsPsychology
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Nov 15, 2025

  2-1a6c 'Inertia' - In most ordinary moments the situation thinks for us, and these seemingly insignificant decisions compound.

  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Nov 05, 2025

  9-2a1.1 Idea is direction. Execution is speed.

  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Oct 20, 2025

  2-3b 'Leverage' - The effort put in and its utility-results doesn't have to correlate at all. Use this to your advantage.

  • revisit
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Sep 19, 2025

  2-2b 'Critical mass' & 'Activation energy' & 'Alloying' & 'Catalysts' - Look for, or create, lollapalooza effects

  • develop
  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Jun 22, 2025

  2-1a0b2 'Relativity' - Look at the problem in as many ways as possible. You might as well find new problems.

  • develop
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem
  • revisit

• Jun 14, 2025

  2-1a1a4a 'Probabilistic thinking' - Do not assume miracles!

  • multiverse
  • develop
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Jun 04, 2025

  2-1d 'Ecosystem' & 'Thermodynamics' & 'Double-entry bookkeeping' - Everything is connected, there is no free lunch

  • multiverse
  • develop
  • MentalModelsBiology
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

18 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Nov 19, 2025

  Sherlock Holmes

  • MentalModels
  • MentalModelsBiology
  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsNumeracy
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon
  • MentalModelsPsychology
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Nov 11, 2025

  2-1a0c 'Denial' - Accept the existence of Black Swans

  • MentalModelsPsychology
  • TheBlackSwan

• Nov 11, 2025

  2-1a1a1 'Falsification (confirmation) bias' - Always try to falsify your theory. Don't pick up similar maps.

  • MentalModelsPsychology

• Nov 11, 2025

  2-1b2d 'Trust' - The most effective business is one with trust. Build one.

  • MentalModelsPsychology

• Nov 03, 2025

  2-1a6b 'Pavlovian association' & 'Social proof' - Understand the arbitrary association formed within your culture. There are no pure indexes for humans.

  • MentalModelsPsychology

• Aug 24, 2025

  2-1a4 'Language instinct' - Language can't exhaust mind

  • revisit
  • MentalModelsPsychology
  • categories

• Jul 01, 2025

  2-1a1a3 'Availability heuristic' - We easily recall what is salient, important, frequent, and recent

  • develop
  • MentalModelsPsychology

• Jul 01, 2025

  2-1a1a4 'Representativeness heuristic' - Remember the Linda test (i.e., the conjunction fallacy)

  • MentalModelsPsychology

• Jun 27, 2025

  2-1a1a6 'Tendency to overgeneralize from small samples'

  • MentalModelsPsychology

• Jun 27, 2025

  2-1a1a8 'Tendency to overestimate consistency of behavior' - Behavior of others are often not innate-intentional but situational

  • MentalModelsPsychology

7 items with this tag.

• Nov 23, 2025

  2-1b2g 'Margin of safety' - Be redundant and resourceful

  • revisit
  • MentalModelsSystems

• Nov 19, 2025

  Sherlock Holmes

  • MentalModels
  • MentalModelsBiology
  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsNumeracy
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon
  • MentalModelsPsychology
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Nov 19, 2025

  2-1b2e 'Algorithms' & 'Replication' - Share your problem-situation as clearly possible, so that others can make decisions without you on your behalf (i.e., multiply)

  • revisit
  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsBiology

• Oct 01, 2025

  6-3b2e Network effects + Feedback loops + Composability = Exponential growth

  • MentalModelsSystems
  • develop

• Sep 19, 2025

  2-2b 'Critical mass' & 'Activation energy' & 'Alloying' & 'Catalysts' - Look for, or create, lollapalooza effects

  • develop
  • MentalModelsSystems
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Aug 25, 2025

  2-1a0a 'Occam's razor' & 'Irreducibility' - Simplify the problem but don't oversimplify.

  • develop
  • MentalModelsGeneral
  • MentalModelsSystems

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-2a 'Emergence' - Knowledge can be created out of nothing and is unpredictable

  • MentalModelsSystems

1 item with this tag.

• Dec 29, 2025

  Michael Burry

  • revisit
  • TODO
  • method
  • develop

24 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Nov 06, 2025

  Ludwig von Mises

  • develop
  • multiverse
  • DanielEverett
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • Ayache
  • Spitznagel
  • symbols

• Sep 04, 2025

  1-2g2t3d Because creation (and growth) of knowledge is in essence error-correction, and because being wrong is way easier than being right, knowledge-creating-bearing entities will become more alike (and thrive) across the multiverse

  • Consciousness
  • multiverse
  • develop
  • revisit

• Jul 17, 2025

  1-2g2e What science and creative thought in general achieves is unpredictable creation out of nothing. That is, creation of knowledge. And so is biological evolution (i.e., life).

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • multiverse
  • develop

• Jun 23, 2025

  2-1a6c5 'Randomness' is the opportunity to reason abductively

  • multiverse

• Jun 14, 2025

  2-1a1a4a 'Probabilistic thinking' - Do not assume miracles!

  • multiverse
  • develop
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem

• Jun 04, 2025

  2-1d 'Ecosystem' & 'Thermodynamics' & 'Double-entry bookkeeping' - Everything is connected, there is no free lunch

  • multiverse
  • develop
  • MentalModelsBiology
  • MentalModelsPhysicsAndChem
  • MentalModelsMicroEcon

• Mar 02, 2025

  2-1a6c4c We can explain things because we are multiversal objects. The multiverse implies explanatory knowledge.

  • Consciousness
  • multiverse
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2s The very fact that physical variables can store information, that they can interact with one another to transfer and replicate it, and that such processes are stable, all depend on the details of quantum theory

  • multiverse
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2s7d A history has to be explained in multiversal terms. The true explanation of what happened involves many other instances of me.

  • multiverse

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2t Quantum theory via diversity within fungibility allows both branching (the multiverse) and stability in the sense of what’s been branched stays branched (stable existence of each universe, allowing the classical physics as approximation)

  • multiverse
  • develop

2 items with this tag.

• Nov 04, 2025

  5-1b4c2 No wonder why someone who is having fun is genuinely great at what they do. Because you have to have fun to achieve great things.

  • Naval

• Jul 31, 2024

  5-1b1b3 Productize yourself (as an embodiment of reality)

  • Naval

10 items with this tag.

• Oct 28, 2025

  6-3c When you are invested, you'll try to own it

  • own
  • develop

• Oct 20, 2025

  6-3z A world without ownership is a world with less creativity and human flourishing

  • own
  • develop

• Oct 19, 2025

  6-3b When you own something, you have an incentive to invest in it

  • own
  • develop
  • categories

• Oct 01, 2025

  6-3a Ownership is not just about physical-digital asset, but about yourself

  • categories
  • own
  • develop

• Oct 01, 2025

  6-3a2 How you have something can (and will) matter more than what (you think) you have (e.g., DEX vs CEX - DEX will counter Maximalists movement)

  • own
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1c1d You must build your own media distribution to avoid distortion for yourself and others

  • own

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3a1 You have to own your own creation. The difference between creator and influencer is the gap of digital property rights.

  • own
  • categories

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3b0.1 When you own something, you can go anywhere

  • own
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3b1 Users become owners with tokens

  • own
  • categories

• Jul 18, 2024

  8-1b3d Monetary policies can come first and the currency circulation can come later (or symbiotically-simultaneously), not vice versa (i.e., bottom-up vs top-down)

  • develop
  • Spitznagel
  • own
  • reflexivity

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2s7b1 The laws of physics provides the measure (provides a meaning to proportions and averages for infinite sets) for the multiverse

  • probability

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2t4a Quantum computation is possible thanks to fungibility

  • QuantumComputer
  • develop

21 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Nov 18, 2025

  8-2b2a 'Technologies that change society are technologies that change interactions between people'

  • develop
  • reflexivity

• Nov 14, 2025

  1-2f1b5 検証と反証には非対称性がある

  • reflexivity

• Nov 03, 2025

  3-1c1b You are what you think and you think what you see, and you see what you think

  • reflexivity

• Sep 29, 2025

  3-1a4b1.3 Your circle of competence can be widened, deepened, made clearer

  • reflexivity
  • revisit

• May 31, 2025

  13-1a3a2d3b Value scales and money are reflexive—value scales become more actionable with money, because money changes the topology of value scales

  • develop
  • reflexivity

• May 21, 2025

  13-1a3a2e2a Money and differences in the economy are reflexive

  • reflexivity

• Apr 28, 2025

  11-3.3 'The law of diminishing returns' - We can recalibrate the curve so that we are always at the growing phase of the S-curve!

  • develop
  • reflexivity

• Oct 19, 2024

  10-2g1f2c It's as though everything from culture-grammar-symbol-DNA-brain evolved so that high accuracy correspondences were made easier to achieve

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • evolution
  • reflexivity
  • symbols
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-1a1a Our mind is not necessarily composed linearly or hierarchically. It could be a connected web of nodes and reflexive.

  • reflexivity

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-1a2c 情報文化史は編集技術の歴史

  • reflexivity
  • Balaji
  • 松岡正剛
  • develop

152 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Dec 29, 2025

  Michael Burry

  • revisit
  • TODO
  • method
  • develop

• Dec 27, 2025

  9-1b You can’t really transfer your knowledge to others, because each knowledge has to be created individually

  • revisit

• Dec 27, 2025

  Li Lu

  • revisit
  • develop
  • TODO

• Dec 24, 2025

  1-1a5b4.4 Real-time calibration (i.e., recalibration) lets you adapt to the changing landscape

  • revisit
  • develop
  • Ayache

• Dec 24, 2025

  1-2i Brandolini’s Law (the Bullshit Asymmetry Principle)—the amount of energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than that needed to produce it

  • revisit

• Dec 24, 2025

  2-1a3 'Seeing the front' - Incorporate what can't be explicated

  • revisit
  • MentalModelsMilitaryAndWar

• Dec 24, 2025

  2-1b2b5 Know the correlations between your bets. Holy grail is fifteen or so uncorrelated bets.

  • revisit

• Dec 24, 2025

  3-1c3c4.3 “Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy only when others are fearful”

  • revisit
  • develop

• Dec 24, 2025

  Robert Cialdini

  • revisit

• Dec 17, 2025

  1-1a5b5 Shipping perfection means you are too late - you have to find a balance of finding the right moment and being fixable

  • revisit
  • LearnInPublic

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  3-1c2a Your mind, including the unconscious, has to know the problems you explicitly have

  • SlowBurns

11 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Nov 06, 2025

  Ludwig von Mises

  • develop
  • multiverse
  • DanielEverett
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • Ayache
  • Spitznagel
  • symbols

• Nov 05, 2025

  2-1b2b0.1 Ask - What’s the correct very-long-term solution; How do I solve this using and committing the minimum amount of time possible; Does this really matter (almost always, no)

  • develop
  • Spitznagel
  • Ayache

• Apr 26, 2025

  Saifedean Ammous

  • develop
  • elaborate
  • TODO
  • revisit
  • Spitznagel
  • FutureSelf

• Feb 06, 2025

  Hans-Hermann Hoppe

  • develop
  • Spitznagel

• Jul 18, 2024

  2-1a7a1 (1) Increase your productivity; (2) Don't let your income increase faster than your productivity; (3) Don't let your debt increase faster than your income

  • develop
  • Spitznagel

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-1b1a4a Being hedged in the long-run entails being long optionality

  • develop
  • multiverse
  • Spitznagel

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-1b1d Invest in volatility (literally)

  • Spitznagel
  • Taleb

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-2a Addiction lessens one’s ability to experience joy in life.

  • Spitznagel
  • MentalModels

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3b2.3a Credit is not money

  • develop
  • Spitznagel

• Jul 18, 2024

  6-3b2.3c When the money is printed, financial assets appreciate

  • Spitznagel
  • develop

16 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Nov 30, 2025

  10-2g3d1 Humans do stupid things because we can guess and create meanings. Our ability comes with a great cost of potentially doing very (infinitely) stupid things.

  • symbols
  • revisit

• Nov 19, 2025

  9-1b2 Inevitable meme variation is another reason why it's impossible to predict how people will use your work and ideas

  • develop
  • symbols

• Nov 06, 2025

  Ludwig von Mises

  • develop
  • multiverse
  • DanielEverett
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • Ayache
  • Spitznagel
  • symbols

• Jul 04, 2025

  10-2g2c1 Symbols are universal. Being arbitrary and contingent means it can represent anything, and do everything.

  • develop
  • Universality
  • symbols

• Oct 19, 2024

  10-2g1f2c It's as though everything from culture-grammar-symbol-DNA-brain evolved so that high accuracy correspondences were made easier to achieve

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • evolution
  • reflexivity
  • symbols
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2j1 Accuracy is the closeness, as far as is perceptible, of the rendered environment to the intended one (intension)

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • symbols
  • evolution
  • Consciousness

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-2g2j2 Icons are intentional resemblances. It is 'about' something.

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • symbols
  • evolution
  • Consciousness

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2d1c Evolution achieved that jump to universality with the DNA genetic code

  • Universality
  • evolution
  • symbols
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2f3a Learning human languages consists of constantly conjecturing-guessing the meaning of the words being used

  • develop
  • symbols

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g1f2b The brain and symbols evolved reflexively to enhance communication to deal with cultural and sexual selectional pressures.

  • symbols
  • evolution
  • reflexivity
  • 松岡正剛
  • develop

1 item with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-1a2e9 Emic vision = Interpreting what you are seeing as symbols

  • Synechism

2 items with this tag.

• Nov 18, 2025

  5-2c1 You perceive yourself by what you do repeatedly, just as you judge others by their routine behaviors.

  • develop
  • MentalModels
  • Taleb

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-1b1d Invest in volatility (literally)

  • Spitznagel
  • Taleb

3 items with this tag.

• Nov 11, 2025

  2-1a0c 'Denial' - Accept the existence of Black Swans

  • MentalModelsPsychology
  • TheBlackSwan

• Jul 01, 2025

  2-1a0d Don't confuse the Grey Swans with the Black Swans

  • TheBlackSwan

• Jul 18, 2024

  5-2c2c The probability of extinction is effectively independent of its age (Van Valen)

  • TheBlackSwan

2 items with this tag.

• Sep 17, 2025

  7-1b2b1 The best is seeing the front by yourself, because inexplicit and unconscious ideas exist between heads not within them

  • TheMomTest

• Jun 24, 2025

  4-1a5a If you properly set up the conversation you only need a handful of conversations for insights (e.g., via client slicing and segmentation)

  • TheMomTest

31 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Nov 08, 2025

  David Deutsch

  • develop
  • revisit
  • TheTuringPrinciple

• Nov 04, 2025

  10-1b4 Children concentrically embody their ever-widening knowledge structures by testing the degree of its correspondence in comparison with other members of the society

  • TheTuringPrinciple

• Oct 25, 2025

  9-4b2a1b Build the Idea Maze - Explain the history around an idea, and why yours is a good one. Virtually render the history of the evolution of that idea.

  • TheTuringPrinciple

• Sep 11, 2025

  5-1b1a2c0.2 Analogue information (e.g., tones of voice, EQ) cannot be perfectly-exhaustively represented by digital systems (e.g., universal writing systems)

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • Ayache

• Aug 19, 2025

  1-1a5b4.5 Truth is about correspondence with reality

  • revisit
  • TheTuringPrinciple

• Jul 17, 2025

  1-2g2e What science and creative thought in general achieves is unpredictable creation out of nothing. That is, creation of knowledge. And so is biological evolution (i.e., life).

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • multiverse
  • develop

• Jun 30, 2025

  10-2g2c0 A system is universal if it contains enough expressibility to represent anything. It can do anything and everything.

  • Universality
  • TheTuringPrinciple

• Jun 09, 2025

  5-1b1a1c4 The interoperability laws (i.e., substrate-independent formulation of information) are more detailed exposition of the Turing principle

  • develop
  • TheTuringPrinciple

• Oct 19, 2024

  10-2g1f2c It's as though everything from culture-grammar-symbol-DNA-brain evolved so that high accuracy correspondences were made easier to achieve

  • TheTuringPrinciple
  • evolution
  • reflexivity
  • symbols
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-1a2e2 Languages are not innate to humans

  • TheTuringPrinciple

18 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Dec 29, 2025

  Michael Burry

  • revisit
  • TODO
  • method
  • develop

• Dec 27, 2025

  Li Lu

  • revisit
  • develop
  • TODO

• Nov 30, 2025

  5-1b4a Amara’s law - we expect too much in the short-run, but too little in the long-run

  • TODO
  • develop

• Nov 30, 2025

  Warren Buffett

  • revisit
  • TODO
  • develop

• Nov 18, 2025

  10-2e6 Any theory must account for the meaning of 'the future' and 'the past' because both are arbitrary abstractions and do not exist objectively in reality

  • TODO

• Nov 16, 2025

  4-1a3b Go to specific places to get specific feedbacks

  • revisit
  • TODO
  • develop

• Nov 09, 2025

  Eric Voskuil

  • develop
  • revisit
  • TODO

• Nov 08, 2025

  Murray Rothbard

  • develop
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • volatility
  • Ayache

• Nov 06, 2025

  3-1c3c3b Wealth = Measurement (work with a small group) + Leverage (develop new techniques and its value is multiplied by all the people who use it)

  • TODO
  • develop

• Nov 06, 2025

  5-2a0.1 There are things that cannot be measured

  • TODO

13 items with this tag. Showing first 10 tags.

• Aug 24, 2025

  5-1b2 Don’t invest in prediction, because knowledge is inherently unpredictable

  • Universality
  • develop

• Jul 04, 2025

  10-2g2c1 Symbols are universal. Being arbitrary and contingent means it can represent anything, and do everything.

  • develop
  • Universality
  • symbols

• Jun 30, 2025

  10-2g2c0 A system is universal if it contains enough expressibility to represent anything. It can do anything and everything.

  • Universality
  • TheTuringPrinciple

• Jun 09, 2025

  9-2b3 いわゆる「知識」は合理科学が浸透したコミュニティにのみあてはまる・「世界はひとつ」ではない

  • Universality
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  1-1a2f You are redundant if you are flexible and (close to being) universal - that is, composable and interoperable

  • Universality
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2d1c Evolution achieved that jump to universality with the DNA genetic code

  • Universality
  • evolution
  • symbols
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g1b Science is headed towards less and less parochialism because we can be honest with what knowledge is. That is, towards universality.

  • develop
  • Universality

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g1c Universality of people

  • develop
  • Universality

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g1j A good explanation explain more than what they were originally designed to

  • categories
  • Universality
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2c Indexes are physical because they merely ‘indicate’ and hence do not require culture. Symbols are cultural. Put differently, indexes are analog and symbols digital.

  • Universality
  • develop

4 items with this tag.

• Nov 30, 2025

  7-1a4a Growth in revenue and in user base are not the same thing.

  • revisit
  • incentives
  • unseen

• Sep 19, 2025

  10-2g2e6 Abstraction is the unseen

  • unseen

• Jun 09, 2025

  10-2g3d Behaviors can be replicators even when its meanings are not (properly) understood, because we can guess the meaning of memes. For rational memes, knowledge is THE replicator.

  • unseen
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g2e6a Science is about understanding the whole of reality, of which only an infinitesimal proportion is ever experienced

  • multiverse
  • unseen

5 items with this tag.

• Nov 08, 2025

  Murray Rothbard

  • develop
  • revisit
  • TODO
  • volatility
  • Ayache

• Jul 01, 2025

  13-4d5 Prices are derived from subjective values

  • volatility

• Jun 21, 2025

  12-1a Turning constants into variables increases volatility

  • categories
  • develop
  • volatility

• Feb 02, 2025

  Balaji Srinivasan

  • volatility

• Jul 18, 2024

  7-1b4b3 When you dump oscillations, you dump low end as well as high end

  • LearnInPublic
  • volatility

2 items with this tag.

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-1a2c 情報文化史は編集技術の歴史

  • reflexivity
  • Balaji
  • 松岡正剛
  • develop

• Jul 18, 2024

  10-2g1f2b The brain and symbols evolved reflexively to enhance communication to deal with cultural and sexual selectional pressures.

  • symbols
  • evolution
  • reflexivity
  • 松岡正剛
  • develop